Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.636038 10.720551 11.888053 13.240143 14.765151 16.434506 18.403743
2025-06-29 7.646609 9.038880 10.641317 12.628808 15.037061 17.872353 21.480375
2025-07-06 6.315370 7.869423 9.765848 12.265485 15.495841 19.559745 25.106727
2025-07-13 5.538456 7.242215 9.436291 12.496761 16.699369 22.331581 30.558639
2025-07-20 4.929808 6.734913 9.176618 12.765408 17.980887 25.400951 36.966992
2025-07-27 4.380527 6.225299 8.834218 12.856726 19.016885 28.284198 43.645659
2025-08-03 3.851915 5.669962 8.345615 12.653363 19.573288 30.533343 49.773191
2025-08-10 3.407899 5.179317 7.882952 12.412617 20.019316 32.662658 56.098080
2025-08-17 3.038952 4.755989 7.465909 12.177057 20.423977 34.770044 62.777776
2025-08-24 2.744034 4.413408 7.132005 12.025796 20.937034 37.129656 70.370039
2025-08-31 2.507735 4.138403 6.873750 11.963533 21.588412 39.829774 79.154610
2025-09-07 2.359476 3.994152 6.818079 12.249744 22.919527 44.024485 91.865630
2025-09-14 2.159189 3.742048 6.552006 12.126437 23.474979 46.849217 102.438812
2025-09-21 1.958956 3.468915 6.217422 11.827929 23.635917 48.896038 111.759980
2025-09-28 1.800349 3.255390 5.969302 11.666346 24.055628 51.575176 123.246330
2025-10-05 1.718528 3.177416 5.970335 12.012211 25.625243 57.128224 143.380146
2025-10-12 1.643730 3.104777 5.972895 12.360825 27.259383 63.153915 166.427311
2025-10-19 1.555547 2.996381 5.890866 12.513614 28.464597 68.373479 188.717862
2025-10-26 1.447200 2.836410 5.684879 12.360727 28.909628 71.748999 206.571407
2025-11-02 1.345039 2.679466 5.468864 12.156559 29.195629 74.765911 224.224723
2025-11-09 1.252226 2.533589 5.261844 11.947161 29.436484 77.714198 242.572822
2025-11-16 1.173827 2.411447 5.094780 11.813356 29.857564 81.267072 264.105216
2025-11-23 1.108333 2.311519 4.967549 11.762218 30.497229 85.602258 289.844528